Monday 8 September 2014

EBEY-INA WITH A GOOD CHANCE

Galway host a decent fixture today that starts in the late afternoon and goes into the early evening. Dermot Weld appears to have a strong hand at a course where he always has plenty of success. His EBEYINA should go very close in the days feature race (6:35). She won her debut with aplomb. She then came a respectable second behind a potentially useful horse of Aidan O'Brien's in Red Rocks Point which was followed by another solid performance when coming third behind a couple with a little more experience. Plenty of today's opposition look exposed, the exception being Jim Bolger's Altesse, who with only one run under her belt would have to be quite smart to win this. The main danger could prove to be Tarana but she has a tough task on her hands in that she has to give my selection twelve pounds.

Ebeyina

The fillies' maiden (5:35) looks to be quite a warm little affair with quite a few looking to have chances. Weld's representative HARASAVA has to be feared given her connections and her price suggests that she has some ability. However, there are some question marks against her, namely the ground (may be too firm) and the distance (may want further) but her trainer's record at readying horses to win first time out cannot be ignored and she looks to have a good chance. Another horse who has come in for a lot of support in the day is COULD SHOULD WOULD, who ran a very nice race last time out and was entered to run in a far better race than this before she was withdrawn. She still has a rather flashy entry in the Moyglare Stud Stakes and although she probably is not up to winning a race of that grade, it suggests that she may have what it takes to win a race of this calibre. Before Long is the main danger in the race, she brings the best form to the table with her very close second in her last outing.


Dermot Weld has a good record at Galway but he's not the only person to have a good strike rate there. Owner Dr Ronan Lambe has a 36% strike rate (9-25) so any of his representatives ought to be noticed. The pair team up with SILVER GAUNTLET, who has not shown a lot of form to date but the application of blinkers, together with the step up in trip, may eke out some improvement in him in a race that may not take much winning.

In the final race (7:35), it could be worth opposing the Weld juggernaut and backing the O'Brien one instead, courtesy of VIVAT REX. He may not turn out to be a stable star at Ballydoyle and the blinkers on debut is a worry but this race may not take much winning and the favourite Wrap Star looks a little exposed.


Enjoy your Monday and TRY to enjoy the England game if you're watching

Happy Punting
 


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