Sunday 4 May 2014

O'BRIEN'S PAIR OR EURO STAR?

The 1000 Guineas take place today at Newmarket, 24 hours after the colts equivalent. Many people were left unsatisfied after the 2000 Guineas, citing the splitting of the pack as the reason for this. Night of Thunder was an impressive winner in truth, winning races on both the near and far side of the track due to severe drifting on the track. The people who felt that race was messy will hope for a fairer of the fillies Classic today.

Aidan O'Brien's horses always have to be feared and this year is no different. BRACELET won the same Guineas trial that O'Brien's Virginia Waters and Homecoming Queen won before gaining Guineas victory, so it's a tried and tested route used effectively previously. She showed a nice turn of foot that day, winning nicely and she did most of her work in the final furlong. That race was over 7 furlongs, implying that the step up to a mile should pose no problems whatsoever. This beautifully bred filly has a big chance.

Bracelet (orange and blue)

The other O'Brien horse is TAPESTRY. She won her first two races as a 2 year old nice before being promoted from third to second in Moyglare. She is another impeccably bred filly and another who should relish the step up in trip. She has form on the ground, also has a great chance.

Tapestry (left)

And my final selection for this race is EURO CHARLINE. She's been a favourite of mine since I witnessed her demolition job of an admittedly average bunch at Wolverhampton, but she was clearly one to follow. She probably deserved to win the Nell Gwyn, having her path blocked more than once at vital points of the race. The race would've definitely been hers if it was ran over a mile, so the trip today is no worry. She's proven she handles the track, given that the Nell Gwyn was ran at Newmarket and it seems interesting that she was supplemented at a hefty sum for this. I'd love to see her win; if she did it would really put All Weather racing on the map following Toast Of New York plying his trade at Dunstall Park before winning the UAE Derby.

Euro Charline (foreground)

The Dahlia Stakes (2:40) at Newmarket is being dominated by the returning Integral. She looked top class at three and she will no doubt improve at four. However, her trainer's horses usually come on for the run, I believe he's had no winners from horses first time out this season. Horses who have had a run include ESOTERIQUE, who has ran a couple of average races so far this season but did finish second in the French 1000 Guineas, so has the class and ZURIGHA, who won nicely at Kempton when beating the useful Ribbons. Course form is in her favour too, she has a good chance, as does Esoterique.

In the maiden at 4:25, the speedily bred KASSBAAN looks to have a good chance. He is by Kodiac, who had plenty of juvenile winners last year, and out of a mare by Champion Sprinter Oasis Dream, so this minimum trip should be right up his street. He is a half brother to a horse who won at five furlongs as a 2 year old, further enhancing his claims. Support in market for him at the time of writing this is significant, he should go well. The Godolphin filly Elite Gardens may prove to be the main danger.

Finally, SNOW TROUBLE looks to have an awesome chance in the concluding race at 5:35. He won a decent maiden at the Goodwood Festival last year, with jockey that day Johnny Murtagh being quite sweet on him after the race. He got beaten by the narrowest of margins at Kempton on his reappearance this season, coming very late over a mile. Therefore, the step to 10 furlongs today should suit him nicely. The firm ground is in his favour, as is Ryan Moore doing the steering. His trainer Marcus Tregoning is also said to be a massive admirer of his, he should go very close today. As for the rest, there are a couple who may be a danger off a low weight, Lungarno Palace could go well at a price and as for Miner's Lamp, who he is vying for favouritism with, he will probably come on for the run, as so many have shown for  trainer Charlie Appleby this season.

Enjoy your Sunday

Happy Punting!

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