Friday 30 January 2015

THE POL SUGGESTS ANOTHER FRY WINNER

February looms and with this, the Cheltenham countdown can really start to begin. Many horses have ran their final race before the Festival whilst others are still to grace the racecourse once more. Some of these run today, including at Sandown, where the preview commences...

The 3:00 looks a wide-open affair but the favourite POLAMCO has won his last two races and still looks fairly treated at the weights. On the other hand, most of his opponents appear to be in the grip of the handicapper. His victory over Morito Du Berlais is arguably the best recent form on offer so you would have to fancy him to continue Harry Fry's decent form.

Polamco (orange and black)

1:50- BRICK RED has been performing consistently of late, with two second place finished behind the classy Mr Mole. Venetia Williams' raider hasn't got Paul Nicholls' enigmatic animal to deal with today so has to be respected, although Ballygarvey will not be a pushover.

2:25- This renewal of the Scilly Isles Novices' Chase could well be a duel between Irish Saint and Champagne West. However, at the prices, Grade 1 novice hurdler GRUMETI cannot be discounted. His four length defeat by Vibrato Valtat isn't the worst form around and his comprehensive beating of Sail By The Sea, who sluiced up at 1/6 yesterday, was also a useful performance. If he can handle the step up in trip, he could make a mockery of his position of being the market outsider of five. As for the remaining pair, Splash Of Ginge has a lot to find on form with Champagne West given Philip Hobbs' runner beat him comfortably at Cheltenham whilst Gitane Du Berlais represents Willie Mullins, who has a lowly strike rate of 2 winners from 19 with horses in the UK this season. Both of those winners were the imperious Faugheen.

3:35- This handicap chase is a real humdinger to decipher. JUST A PAR has seen his official rating tumble this season; it hit its lowest yet at Cheltenham last time out where he finished a respectable 4th off 140. His rating was left unchanged after that but he has 2 furlongs less to contend with today which will be massively in his favour. Course specialist LE REVE is also a big player in this- his recent third behind The Young Master looked a solid run. Something similar should be expected today. Others to keep an eye on are Theatrical Star, There's No Panic and Bertie Boru.

Just A Par non runner- BERTIE BORU selected instead. Ran a good race behind Unioniste at the course last time out, won two in a row before that. Only raised a pound for latest run, should give Richard Johnson another good spin

4:10- In the Esher track's finale, British debutant AIGLE DE LA SEE could prove to be thrown in off 119 for Nicky Henderson. His French form looks relatively solid and could be another smart acquisition for Messrs Munir and Soeude. AMIDON is also a big contender here based on his second behind Caracci Apache at Plumpton. Furthermore, by my reckoning, his 1 1/4 length defeat behind Mr Grey would suggest that he is about six pounds well in at the handicap. Mr Grey has a rating of 127 and given they ran off level weights when they faced each other, Amidon should only have to carry four pounds less (my calculations for the length he was beaten) but instead carries ten pounds less. Richard Johnson a positive booking too.


Ffos Las hold their Welsh Champion Hurdle fixture today. In the feature race (2:05) the selection is FORYOURINFORMATION. Due to Silsol's inclusion in the race, he gets in off a nice 10-4 weight. His form behind Out Sam, Thomas Brown and Tea For Two at Newbury now looks very strong and his two wins on this ground at the course show that he's adept to coping in these conditions.

In the West Wales National (2:40), you're looking for a strong stayer. GLOBAL POWER fits this criterion and has good form on bottomless surfaces. GORGEOUS LLIEGE will stay all day as well and also wants it like a bog. The only time he ran a bad race was when he was pulled up over 4 miles on good ground at Exeter.


The Towton Novices' Chase (3:20) is quite a weak Grade 2 in all honesty, partly down to RSA hopeful Kings Palace not being declared. NED STARK could well prove to be good enough on ground he'll love. Alan King's inmate has steadily been improving in novice chases this season and although he missed out on the four-timer at Cheltenham, it was behind the top class pair of Ptit Zig and Champagne West. He travelled well for a long way that day so should find this task a lot easier.

2:10- PEPITE ROSE now only carries one pound more than his last handicap win after slipping down the weights whilst competing in some quality two mile events this season. She was always like to find a few too good in the Haldon Gold Cup and the Tingle Creek which she did. Today's race is a much simpler proposition and she should have enough class to win this despite top weight. MIDNIGHT BELLE cannot be discounted either- her second behind useful handicap chaser Big Water isn't all that bad plus she goes on the ground.

Two more selections:

LYRICAL THEATRE in the Grade 3 Novices Hurdle at Fairyhouse (1:55). She will need to put in a career best to beat Morning Run and Carrigmoorna Rock but she looks to be a progressive sort and is well worth a chance at 8/1.

GHAAMER in Meydan's 1:20. Ran a decent race behind Not A Given last time out so his recent form cannot be questioned whereas others in the field have ran poor races lately.


Have a good Saturday


Happy Punting!

No comments:

Post a Comment